| title | author | journal | year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Learning predictable and informative dynamical drivers of extreme precipitation using variational autoencoders | FR Spuler, M Kretschmer, MA Balmaseda, Y Kovalchuk, TG Shepherd | Weather and Climate Dynamics | 2025 |
| Deep learning meets teleconnections: improving S2S predictions for European winter weather | PL Bommer, M Kretschmer, FR Spuler, K Bykov, MMC Höhne | Machine Learning: Earth | 2025 |
| Artificial intelligence for modeling and understanding extreme weather and climate events | G Camps-Valls, MÁ Fernández-Torres, KH Cohrs, A Höhl, A Castelletti, … | Nature Communications | 2025 |
| Flash drought impacts on global ecosystems amplified by extreme heat | L Gu, DL Schumacher, EM Fischer, LJ Slater, J Yin, S Sippel, J Chen, … | Nature Geoscience | 2025 |
| Record-breaking extremes in a warming climate | EM Fischer, M Bador, R Huser, EJ Kendon, A Robinson, S Sippel | Nature Reviews Earth & Environment | 2025 |
| Combination of internal variability and forced response reconciles observed 2023–2024 warming | G Gyuleva, R Knutti, S Sippel | Geophysical Research Letters | 2025 |
| Forced Component Estimation Statistical Method Intercomparison Project (ForceSMIP) | RCJ Wills, C Deser, KA McKinnon, A Phillips, S Po-Chedley, S Sippel, … | Authorea Preprints | 2025 |
| On the link between weather regimes and energy shortfall during winter for 28 European countries | E Rouges, M Kretschmer, TG Shepherd | Meteorological Applications | 2025 |
| Estimating the contribution of Arctic sea-ice loss to central Asia temperature anomalies: the case of winter 2020/2021 | LR Cosford, R Ghosh, M Kretschmer, C Oatley, TG Shepherd | Environmental Research Letters | 2025 |
| Explaining and predicting the Southern Hemisphere eddy-driven jet | J Mindlin, TG Shepherd, M Osman, CS Vera, M Kretschmer | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences | 2025 |
| Cold-air outbreaks in the continental US: Connections with stratospheric variations | L Agel, J Cohen, M Barlow, K Pfeiffer, J Francis, CI Garfinkel, … | Science Advances | 2025 |
| Balancing Earth science careers in an unequal world | N Testani, LM Cappelletti, LB Díaz, C Prudente, V Rabanal, J Mindlin, … | Communications Earth & Environment | 2025 |
| Reversal of the impact chain for actionable climate information | P Pfleiderer, TL Frölicher, CM Kropf, RD Lamboll, Q Lejeune, … | Nature Geoscience | 2025 |
| State of wildfires 2023–2024 | MW Jones, DI Kelley, CA Burton, F Di Giuseppe, MLF Barbosa, … | Earth System Science Data | 2024 |
| ibicus: a new open-source Python package and comprehensive interface for statistical bias adjustment and evaluation in climate modelling (v1.0.1) | FR Spuler, JB Wessel, E Comyn-Platt, J Varndell, C Cagnazzo | Geoscientific Model Development | 2024 |
| Identifying probabilistic weather regimes targeted to a local-scale impact variable | FR Spuler, M Kretschmer, Y Kovalchuk, MA Balmaseda, TG Shepherd | Environmental Data Science | 2024 |
| Global impacts of an extreme solar particle event under different geomagnetic field strengths | P Arsenović, E Rozanov, I Usoskin, C Turney, T Sukhodolov, … | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences | 2024 |
| Biodiversity and climate extremes: Known interactions and research gaps | MD Mahecha, A Bastos, FJ Bohn, N Eisenhauer, H Feilhauer, T Hickler, … | Earth’s Future | 2024 |
| Could an extremely cold central European winter such as 1963 happen again despite climate change? | S Sippel, C Barnes, C Cadiou, E Fischer, S Kew, M Kretschmer, S Philip, … | Weather and Climate Dynamics | 2024 |
| A belowground perspective on the nexus between biodiversity change, climate change, and human well‐being | N Eisenhauer, K Frank, A Weigelt, B Bartkowski, R Beugnon, K Liebal, … | Journal of Sustainable Agriculture and Environment | 2024 |
| Early-twentieth-century cold bias in ocean surface temperature observations | S Sippel, EC Kent, N Meinshausen, D Chan, C Kadow, R Neukom, … | Nature | 2024 |
| Increasing extreme precipitation variability plays a key role in future record-shattering event probability | I de Vries, S Sippel, J Zeder, E Fischer, R Knutti | Communications Earth & Environment | 2024 |
| Broadening the scope of anthropogenic influence in extreme event attribution | A Jézéquel, A Bastos, D Faranda, J Kimutai, N Le Grix, AM Wilson, … | Environmental Research: Climate | 2024 |
| AI for Extreme Event Modeling and Understanding: Methodologies and Challenges | G Camps-Valls, MÁ Fernández-Torres, KH Cohrs, A Höhl, A Castelletti, … | arXiv preprint arXiv: | 2024 |
| Enhanced global carbon cycle sensitivity to tropical temperature linked to internal climate variability | N Li, S Sippel, N Linscheid, C Rödenbeck, AJ Winkler, M Reichstein, … | Science advances | 2024 |
| A distinct role for aerosol and GHG forcing in historical CMIP6 evapotranspiration trends | M Egli, V Humphrey, S Sippel, R Knutti | Earth’s Future | 2024 |
| Finding the right XAI method—a guide for the evaluation and ranking of explainable AI methods in climate science | PL Bommer, M Kretschmer, A Hedström, D Bareeva, MMC Höhne | Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems | 2024 |
| Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives | S Materia, LP García, C van Straaten, S O, A Mamalakis, L Cavicchia, … | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change | 2024 |
| Regional climate change: consensus, discrepancies, and ways forward | TA Shaw, PA Arias, M Collins, D Coumou, A Diedhiou, CI Garfinkel, … | Frontiers in climate | 2024 |
| Northern Hemisphere stratosphere‐troposphere circulation change in CMIP6 models: 2. Mechanisms and sources of the spread | AY Karpechko, Z Wu, IR Simpson, M Kretschmer, H Afargan‐Gerstman, … | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2024 |
| A forensic investigation of climate model biases in teleconnections: The case of the relationship between ENSO and the northern stratospheric polar vortex | X Shen, M Kretschmer, TG Shepherd | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2024 |
| Cosy: Evaluating textual explanations of neurons | L Kopf, PL Bommer, A Hedström, S Lapuschkin, M Höhne, K Bykov | Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems | 2024 |
| Overconfidence in climate overshoot | CF Schleussner, G Ganti, Q Lejeune, B Zhu, P Pfleiderer, R Prütz, P Ciais, … | Nature | 2024 |
| Limited reversal of regional climate signals in overshoot scenarios | P Pfleiderer, CF Schleussner, J Sillmann | Environmental Research: Climate | 2024 |
| Using climate envelopes and earth system model simulations for assessing climate change induced forest vulnerability | L Martes, P Pfleiderer, M Köhl, J Sillmann | Scientific Reports | 2024 |
| Introducing the MESMER-M-TPv0. 1.0 module: spatially explicit Earth system model emulation for monthly precipitation and temperature | S Schöngart, L Gudmundsson, M Hauser, P Pfleiderer, Q Lejeune, S Nath, … | Geoscientific Model Development | 2024 |
| MERCURY: A fast and versatile multi-resolution based global emulator of compound climate hazards | S Nath, J Carreau, K Kornhuber, P Pfleiderer, CF Schleussner, P Naveau | arXiv preprint arXiv: | 2024 |
| Weakening of springtime Arctic ozone depletion with climate change | M Friedel, G Chiodo, T Sukhodolov, J Keeble, T Peter, S Seeber, … | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics | 2023 |
| The influence of future changes in springtime Arctic ozone on stratospheric and surface climate | G Chiodo, M Friedel, S Seeber, D Domeisen, A Stenke, T Sukhodolov, … | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics | 2023 |
| Stratospherically induced tropospheric circulation changes under the extreme conditions of the No-Montreal-Protocol scenario | F Zilker, T Sukhodolov, G Chiodo, M Friedel, T Egorova, E Rozanov, … | EGUsphere | 2023 |
| Stratospherically induced circulation changes under the extreme conditions of the no-Montreal-Protocol scenario | F Zilker, T Sukhodolov, G Chiodo, M Friedel, T Egorova, E Rozanov, … | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics | 2023 |
| The influence of future changes in springtime Arctic ozone on stratospheric and surface climate | M Friedel, G Chiodo, S Seeber, A Stenke | ETH Zurich | 2023 |
| Timeslice simulations for the year 2075 simulated with SOCOL-MPIOM and WACCM4 | M Friedel, G Chiodo, S Seeber | ETH Zurich | 2023 |
| Heat extremes in Western Europe increasing faster than simulated due to atmospheric circulation trends | R Vautard, J Cattiaux, T Happé, J Singh, R Bonnet, C Cassou, D Coumou, … | Nature Communications | 2023 |
| Storylines for unprecedented heatwaves based on ensemble boosting | EM Fischer, U Beyerle, L Bloin-Wibe, C Gessner, V Humphrey, F Lehner, … | Nature Communications | 2023 |
| A joint framework for studying compound ecoclimatic events | A Bastos, S Sippel, D Frank, MD Mahecha, S Zaehle, J Zscheischler, … | Nature Reviews Earth & Environment | 2023 |
| The effect of a short observational record on the statistics of temperature extremes | J Zeder, S Sippel, OC Pasche, S Engelke, EM Fischer | Geophysical Research Letters | 2023 |
| Circulation dampened heat extremes intensification over the Midwest USA and amplified over Western Europe | J Singh, S Sippel, EM Fischer | Communications Earth & Environment | 2023 |
| Robust global detection of forced changes in mean and extreme precipitation despite observational disagreement on the magnitude of change | IE de Vries, S Sippel, AG Pendergrass, R Knutti | Earth System Dynamics | 2023 |
| Identifying climate models based on their daily output using machine learning | L Brunner, S Sippel | Environmental Data Science | 2023 |
| An extreme cold Central European winter such as 1963 is unlikely but still possible despite climate change | S Sippel, C Barnes, C Cadiou, E Fischer, S Kew, M Kretschmer, S Philip, … | EGUsphere | 2023 |
| Artificial intelligence for prediction of climate extremes: State of the art, challenges and future perspectives | S Materia, LP García, C van Straaten, A Mamalakis, L Cavicchia, … | arXiv preprint arXiv: | 2023 |
| Seasonal seed scenario planning: co-design of a generic framework for matching seed supply and demand using seasonal climate forecasts | J Steinke, B Ortiz-Crespo, J van Etten, GD Borman, M Hassena, … | Climate Services | 2023 |
| Evaluation of explainable AI solutions in climate science | P Bommer, M Kretschmer, A Hedstroem, D Bareeva, MMC Hoehne | EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, EGU- | 2023 |
| Assembling the climate story: use of storyline approaches in climate‐related science | E Baulenas, G Versteeg, M Terrado, J Mindlin, D Bojovic | Global Challenges | 2023 |
| Plausible drying and wetting scenarios for summer in southeastern South America | J Mindlin, CS Vera, TG Shepherd, M Osman | Journal of Climate | 2023 |
| Attributing Extreme Weather Events and Mean Climate Change using Dynamical and Event Storylines | L van Garderen, F Feser, J Mindlin, T Shepherd | EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, EGU- | 2023 |
| The meta-evaluation problem in explainable AI: identifying reliable estimators with MetaQuantus | A Hedström, P Bommer, KK Wickstrøm, W Samek, S Lapuschkin, … | arXiv preprint arXiv: | 2023 |
| Risks of synchronized low yields are underestimated in climate and crop model projections | K Kornhuber, C Lesk, CF Schleussner, J Jägermeyr, P Pfleiderer, … | Nature Communications | 2023 |
| No going back-Limited reversibility of regional climate changes under overshoot | P Pfleiderer, CF Schleussner, J Sillmann | Authorea Preprints | 2023 |
| The economics of climate change with endogenous preferences | L Mattauch, C Hepburn, F Spuler, N Stern | Resource and Energy Economics | 2022 |
| Springtime arctic ozone depletion forces northern hemisphere climate anomalies | M Friedel, G Chiodo, A Stenke, DIV Domeisen, S Fueglistaler, JG Anet, … | Nature Geoscience | 2022 |
| Effects of Arctic ozone on the stratospheric spring onset and its surface impact | M Friedel, G Chiodo, A Stenke, DIV Domeisen, T Peter | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics | 2022 |
| Exploring the link between austral stratospheric polar vortex anomalies and surface climate in chemistry-climate models | N Bergner, M Friedel, DIV Domeisen, D Waugh, G Chiodo | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics | 2022 |
| Model results for” Robust effect of springtime Arctic ozone depletion on surface climate”, part 2: Data for SOCOL-MPIOM | M Friedel, G Chiodo | ETH Zurich | 2022 |
| Ozone depletion over the Arctic affects spring climate in the Northern Hemisphere | M Friedel, G Chiodo | Nature Geoscience | 2022 |
| On the Robustness of the Surface Response to Austral Stratospheric Polar Vortex Extremes | N Bergner, M Friedel, DIV Domeisen, D Waugh, G Chiodo | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions | 2022 |
| Climatic and soil factors explain the two-dimensional spectrum of global plant trait variation | JS Joswig, C Wirth, MC Schuman, J Kattge, B Reu, IJ Wright, SD Sippel, … | Nature ecology & evolution | 2022 |
| Physics-aware nonparametric regression models for Earth data analysis | J Cortés-Andrés, G Camps-Valls, S Sippel, E Székely, D Sejdinovic, … | Environmental Research Letters | 2022 |
| Interannual global carbon cycle variations linked to atmospheric circulation variability | N Li, S Sippel, AJ Winkler, MD Mahecha, M Reichstein, A Bastos | Earth System Dynamics | 2022 |
| Reconstruction of zonal precipitation from sparse historical observations using climate model information and statistical learning | M Egli, S Sippel, AG Pendergrass, I de Vries, R Knutti | Geophysical Research Letters | 2022 |
| Robust detection and attribution of climate change under interventions | E Székely, S Sippel, N Meinshausen, G Obozinski, R Knutti | arXiv preprint arXiv: | 2022 |
| Northern hemisphere stratosphere‐troposphere circulation change in CMIP6 models: 1. Inter‐model spread and scenario sensitivity | AY Karpechko, H Afargan‐Gerstman, AH Butler, DIV Domeisen, … | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2022 |
| Stratospheric wave reflection events modulate North American weather regimes and cold spells | G Messori, M Kretschmer, SH Lee, V Matthias | Weather and Climate Dynamics Discussions | 2022 |
| The “polar vortex” winter of 2013/2014 | J Cohen, L Agel, M Barlow, JC Furtado, M Kretschmer, V Wendt | Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres | 2022 |
| The role of the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings for precipitation and temperature anomalies in Europe | E Monnin, M Kretschmer, I Polichtchouk | International Journal of Climatology | 2022 |
| A storyline attribution of the 2011/2012 drought in Southeastern South America | L van Garderen, J Mindlin | Weather | 2022 |
| Are we at risk of losing the current generation of climate researchers to data science? | S Jain, J Mindlin, G Koren, C Gulizia, C Steadman, GS Langendijk, … | AGU Advances | 2022 |
| Self-organizing maps identify windows of opportunity for seasonal European summer predictions | J Carvalho-Oliveira, LF Borchert, E Zorita, J Baehr | Frontiers in Climate | 2022 |
| Extreme Atlantic hurricane seasons made twice as likely by ocean warming | P Pfleiderer, S Nath, CF Schleussner | Weather and Climate Dynamics | 2022 |
| Uncertainty in near-term temperature evolution must not obscure assessments of climate mitigation benefits | A Lanson, P Pfleiderer, F Lehner, CF Schleussner | Nature communications | 2022 |
| The Climate Impact Explorer, a free online tool providing sectoral impact projections for a wide range of scenarios down to the subnational level | Q Lejeune, P Pfleiderer, T Beck, I Menke, C Kropf, I Sauer, C Schleussner | EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts, EGU | 2022 |
| A global environmental crisis 42,000 years ago | A Cooper, CSM Turney, J Palmer, A Hogg, M McGlone, J Wilmshurst, … | Science | 2021 |
| Atmosphere–ocean–aerosol–chemistry–climate model SOCOLv4. 0: Description and evaluation | T Sukhodolov, T Egorova, A Stenke, WT Ball, C Brodowsky, G Chiodo, … | Geoscientific Model Development | 2021 |
| Atmosphere–ocean–aerosol–chemistry–climate model SOCOLv4. 0: description and evaluation, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 5525–5560, 10.5194 | T Sukhodolov, T Egorova, A Stenke, WT Ball, C Brodowsky, G Chiodo, … | gmd- | 2021 |
| Response to Comment on “A global environmental crisis 42,000 years ago” | A Cooper, CSM Turney, J Palmer, A Hogg, M McGlone, J Wilmshurst, … | Science | 2021 |
| Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes | EM Fischer, S Sippel, R Knutti | Nature Climate Change | 2021 |
| An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget | H Damon Matthews, KB Tokarska, J Rogelj, CJ Smith, AH MacDougall, … | Communications Earth & Environment | 2021 |
| Robust detection of forced warming in the presence of potentially large climate variability | S Sippel, N Meinshausen, E Székely, E Fischer, AG Pendergrass, … | Science Advances | 2021 |
| Quantifying causal pathways of teleconnections | M Kretschmer, SV Adams, A Arribas, R Prudden, N Robinson, E Saggioro, … | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2021 |
| Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena | J Ludescher, M Martin, N Boers, A Bunde, C Ciemer, J Fan, S Havlin, … | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences | 2021 |
| Predictors and prediction skill for marine cold‐air outbreaks over the Barents Sea | I Polkova*, H Afargan‐Gerstman, DIV Domeisen, MP King, P Ruggieri, … | Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society | 2021 |
| The influence of the timing of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings on precipitation anomalies in Europe | E Monnin, M Kretschmer, I Polichtchouk, E Paris | Published online. DOI | 2021 |
| Combined effects of global warming and ozone depletion/recovery on Southern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation and regional precipitation | J Mindlin, TG Shepherd, C Vera, M Osman | Geophysical Research Letters | 2021 |
| Subtle influence of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on seasonal sea surface temperature (SST) hindcast skill in the North Atlantic | J Carvalho-Oliveira, LF Borchert, A Duchez, M Dobrynin, J Baehr | Weather and Climate Dynamics | 2021 |
| Reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems from multi-modal time series | D Kramer, PL Bommer, C Tombolini, G Koppe, D Durstewitz | arXiv preprint arXiv: | 2021 |
| Identifying nonlinear dynamical systems from multi-modal time series data | PL Bommer, D Kramer, C Tombolini, G Koppe, D Durstewitz | arXiv e-prints, arXiv: | 2021 |
| Machine-learning-based evidence and attribution mapping of 100,000 climate impact studies | M Callaghan, CF Schleussner, S Nath, Q Lejeune, TR Knutson, … | Nature climate change | 2021 |
| Pathways of climate resilience over the 21st century | CF Schleussner, P Pfleiderer, M Andrijevic, MM Vogel, FEL Otto, … | Environmental Research Letters | 2021 |
| NGFS climate scenario database: technical documentation V2. 2 | C Bertram, J Hilaire, E Kriegler, T Beck, D Bresch, L Clarke, R Cui, … | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), International Institute … | 2021 |
| Simulating compound weather extremes responsible for critical crop failure with stochastic weather generators | P Pfleiderer, A Jézéquel, J Legrand, N Legrix, I Markantonis, E Vignotto, … | Earth System Dynamics | 2021 |
| Briefing note on tropical cyclones: Impacts, the link to climate change and adaptation | A Thomas, P Pringle, P Pfleiderer, CF Schleussner | Climate Analytics, no date, online | 2021 |
| Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models | KB Tokarska, MB Stolpe, S Sippel, EM Fischer, CJ Smith, F Lehner, … | Science advances | 2020 |
| Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale | S Sippel, N Meinshausen, EM Fischer, E Székely, R Knutti | Nature climate change | 2020 |
| Machine learning applications in hydrology | H Lange, S Sippel | Forest-water interactions | 2020 |
| Vegetation modulates the impact of climate extremes on gross primary production | M Flach, A Brenning, F Gans, M Reichstein, S Sippel, MD Mahecha | Biogeosciences Discussions | 2020 |
| Bias correction of climate model output for impact models | AJ Cannon, C Piani, S Sippel | Climate extremes and their implications for impact and risk assessment | 2020 |
| Synoptic-scale controls of fog and low-cloud variability in the Namib Desert | H Andersen, J Cermak, J Fuchs, P Knippertz, M Gaetani, J Quinting, … | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics | 2020 |
| Late 1980s abrupt cold season temperature change in Europe consistent with circulation variability and long-term warming | S Sippel, EM Fischer, SC Scherrer, N Meinshausen, R Knutti | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 |
| Latent linear adjustment autoencoders v1. 0: A novel method for estimating and emulating dynamic precipitation at high resolution | C Heinze-Deml, S Sippel, AG Pendergrass, F Lehner, N Meinshausen | Geoscientific Model Development Discussions | 2020 |
| Concurrent and lagged effects of spring greening on seasonal carbon gain and water loss across the Northern Hemisphere | J Jin, F Guo, S Sippel, Q Zhu, W Wang, B Gu, Y Wang | International journal of biometeorology | 2020 |
| Climate extremes and their implications for impact and risk assessment: A short introduction | J Sillmann, S Sippel | Climate Extremes and Their Implications for Impact and Risk Assessment | 2020 |
| Separating forced and unforced components of climate change: the utility of pattern recognition methods in large ensembles and observations | RCJ Wills, S Sippel, EA Barnes | Variations | 2020 |
| Outlook: Challenges for societal resilience under climate extremes | M Reichstein, D Frank, J Sillmann, S Sippel | Climate Extremes and Their Implications for Impact and Risk Assessment | 2020 |
| Towards dynamical adjustment of the full temperature distribution | E Vignotto, S Sippel, F Lehner, E Fischer | Proceedings of the | 2020 |
| Separation of climate models and observations based on daily output using machine learning | L Brunner, S Sippel | Environmental Data Science | 2020 |
| Divergent consensuses on Arctic amplification influence on midlatitude severe winter weather | J Cohen, X Zhang, J Francis, T Jung, R Kwok, J Overland, TJ Ballinger, … | Nature Climate Change | 2020 |
| Tropical and mid-latitude teleconnections interacting with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall: a theory-guided causal effect network approach | G Di Capua, M Kretschmer, RV Donner, B Van Den Hurk, R Vellore, … | Earth System Dynamics | 2020 |
| The influence of stratospheric wave reflection on North American cold spells | V Matthias, M Kretschmer | Monthly Weather Review | 2020 |
| The role of Barents–Kara sea ice loss in projected polar vortex changes | M Kretschmer, G Zappa, TG Shepherd | Weather and Climate Dynamics | 2020 |
| Reconstructing regime-dependent causal relationships from observational time series | E Saggioro, J de Wiljes, M Kretschmer, J Runge | Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science | 2020 |
| Potential for early forecast of Moroccan wheat yields based on climatic drivers | J Lehmann, M Kretschmer, B Schauberger, F Wechsung | Geophysical Research Letters | 2020 |
| Robust predictors for seasonal Atlantic hurricane activity identified with causal effect networks | P Pfleiderer, CF Schleussner, T Geiger, M Kretschmer | Weather and Climate Dynamics Discussions | 2020 |
| Comment of the European copyright society. Addressing selected aspects of the implementation of articles 18 to 22 of the directive (EU) 2019/790 on copyright in the digital … | SVC Dusollier, VL Benabou, L Bently, E Derclaye, T Dreier, C Geiger, … | JOURNAL OF INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY, INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY AND ELECTRONIC … | 2020 |
| The role of Arctic sea ice loss in projected polar vortex changes | M Kretschmer, G Zappa, TG Shepherd | Weather and Climate Dynamics Discussions | 2020 |
| Storyline description of Southern Hemisphere midlatitude circulation and precipitation response to greenhouse gas forcing | J Mindlin, TG Shepherd, CS Vera, M Osman, G Zappa, RW Lee, … | Climate Dynamics | 2020 |
| Forecast opportunities for European summer climate ensemble predictions using Self-Organising Maps | JC Oliveira, E Zorita, V Koul, T Ludwig, J Baehr | Proceedings of the | 2020 |
| Global warming and extreme weather investment risks | Q Rayer, P Pfleiderer, K Haustein | Ecological, societal, and technological risks and the financial sector | 2020 |
| Half a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risk | S Russo, J Sillmann, S Sippel, MJ Barcikowska, C Ghisetti, M Smid, … | Nature communications | 2019 |
| Uncovering the forced climate response from a single ensemble member using statistical learning | S Sippel, N Meinshausen, A Merrifield, F Lehner, AG Pendergrass, … | Journal of Climate | 2019 |
| Local and nonlocal land surface influence in European heatwave initial condition ensembles | AL Merrifield, IR Simpson, KA McKinnon, S Sippel, SP Xie, C Deser | Geophysical Research Letters | 2019 |
| Climate extremes and their implications for impact and risk assessment | J Sillmann, S Sippel, S Russo | Elsevier | 2019 |
| A direct approach to detection and attribution of climate change | E Székely, S Sippel, R Knutti, G Obozinski, N Meinshausen | arXiv preprint arXiv: | 2019 |
| Detecting and quantifying causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets | J Runge, P Nowack, M Kretschmer, S Flaxman, D Sejdinovic | Science advances | 2019 |
| Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences | J Runge, S Bathiany, E Bollt, G Camps-Valls, D Coumou, E Deyle, … | Nature communications | 2019 |
| Long-lead statistical forecasts of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall based on causal precursors | G Di Capua, M Kretschmer, J Runge, A Alessandri, RV Donner, … | Weather and Forecasting | 2019 |
| Summer weather becomes more persistent in a 2 C world | P Pfleiderer, CF Schleussner, K Kornhuber, D Coumou | Nature Climate Change | 2019 |
| Increasing risks of apple tree frost damage under climate change | P Pfleiderer, I Menke, CF Schleussner | Climatic Change | 2019 |
| Incremental improvements of 2030 targets insufficient to achieve the Paris Agreement goals | A Geiges, PY Parra, M Andrijevic, W Hare, A Nauels, P Pfleiderer, … | Earth System Dynamics Discussions | 2019 |
| Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy | KB Tokarska, CF Schleussner, J Rogelj, MB Stolpe, HD Matthews, … | Nature Geoscience | 2019 |
| Anthropogenic forcings and associated changes in fire risk in western North America and Australia during 2015/16 | SFB Tett, A Falk, M Rogers, F Spuler, C Turner, J Wainwright, … | Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc | 2018 |
| Steering the climate system: an extended comment | L Mattauch, R Millar, R van der Ploeg, A Rezai, A Schultes, F Venmans, … | CESifo Working Paper | 2018 |
| Impacts of droughts and extreme-temperature events on gross primary production and ecosystem respiration: a systematic assessment across ecosystems and climate zones | J Von Buttlar, J Zscheischler, A Rammig, S Sippel, M Reichstein, A Knohl, … | Biogeosciences | 2018 |
| Drought, heat, and the carbon cycle: a review | S Sippel, M Reichstein, X Ma, MD Mahecha, H Lange, M Flach, D Frank | Current Climate Change Reports | 2018 |
| Contrasting biosphere responses to hydrometeorological extremes: revisiting the 2010 western Russian heatwave | M Flach, S Sippel, F Gans, A Bastos, A Brenning, M Reichstein, … | Biogeosciences | 2018 |
| Asymmetric responses of primary productivity to altered precipitation simulated by ecosystem models across three long-term grassland sites | D Wu, P Ciais, N Viovy, AK Knapp, K Wilcox, M Bahn, MD Smith, S Vicca, … | Biogeosciences | 2018 |
| Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals | D Mitchell, C Heaviside, N Schaller, M Allen, KL Ebi, EM Fischer, … | Nature climate change | 2018 |
| Large‐scale droughts responsible for dramatic reductions of terrestrial net carbon uptake over North America in 2011 and 2012 | W He, W Ju, CR Schwalm, S Sippel, X Wu, Q He, L Song, C Zhang, J Li, … | Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences | 2018 |
| From hazard to risk | J Sillmann, S Russo, S Sippel, K Alnes | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2018 |
| Nonlinear dynamics of river runoff elucidated by horizontal visibility graphs | H Lange, S Sippel, OA Rosso | Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science | 2018 |
| More-persistent weak stratospheric polar vortex states linked to cold extremes | M Kretschmer, D Coumou, L Agel, M Barlow, E Tziperman, J Cohen | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2018 |
| The different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America | M Kretschmer, J Cohen, V Matthias, J Runge, D Coumou | NPJ climate and atmospheric science | 2018 |
| Arctic change and possible influence on mid-latitude climate and weather: a US CLIVAR White Paper | J Cohen, X Zhang, J Francis, T Jung, R Kwok, J Overland, T Ballinger, … | US CLIVAR reports | 2018 |
| The different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 1, 44 | M Kretschmer, J Cohen, V Matthias, J Runge, D Coumou | URL https://doi. org/ | 2018 |
| Reflective stratospheric polar vortex pattern linked to North American cold-extremes | M Kretschmer, J Cohen, J Runge, D Coumou | EGU General Assembly Conference Abstracts | 2018 |
| A climatology of the annual cycle of river discharges into the Brazilian continental shelves: from seasonal to interannual variability | J Carvalho Oliveira, W Aguiar, M Cirano, F Genz, FN Amorim | Environmental earth sciences | 2018 |
| 1.5 C hotspots: climate hazards, vulnerabilities, and impacts | CF Schleussner, D Deryng, S D’haen, W Hare, T Lissner, M Ly, A Nauels, … | Annual Review of Environment and Resources | 2018 |
| Quantification of temperature persistence over the Northern Hemisphere land-area | P Pfleiderer, D Coumou | Climate Dynamics | 2018 |
| Global mean temperature indicators linked to warming levels avoiding climate risks | P Pfleiderer, CF Schleussner, M Mengel, J Rogelj | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 |
| Carbon budgets for the 1.5 C limit | CF Schleussner, M Stolpe, P Pfleiderer, Q Lejeune, B Hare | Berlin. https://climateanalytics. org/briefings/carbon-budgets-for-the- | 2018 |
| Author Correction: In the observational record half a degree matters | CF Schleussner, P Pfleiderer, EM Fischer | Nature Climate Change | 2018 |
| Refining multi-model projections of temperature extremes by evaluation against land–atmosphere coupling diagnostics | S Sippel, J Zscheischler, MD Mahecha, R Orth, M Reichstein, M Vogel, … | Earth System Dynamics | 2017 |
| Detecting impacts of extreme events with ecological in situ monitoring networks | MD Mahecha, F Gans, S Sippel, JF Donges, T Kaminski, S Metzger, … | Biogeosciences | 2017 |
| Multivariate anomaly detection for Earth observations: a comparison of algorithms and feature extraction techniques | M Flach, F Gans, A Brenning, J Denzler, M Reichstein, E Rodner, … | Earth System Dynamics | 2017 |
| Contrasting and interacting changes in simulated spring and summer carbon cycle extremes in European ecosystems | S Sippel, M Forkel, A Rammig, K Thonicke, M Flach, M Heimann, FEL Otto, … | Environmental Research Letters | 2017 |
| Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world’s dry regions over the last 60 years? | S Sippel, J Zscheischler, M Heimann, H Lange, MD Mahecha, … | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 |
| Warm winter, wet spring, and an extreme response in ecosystem functioning on the Iberian Peninsula | S Sippel, TS El-Madany, M Migliavacca, MD Mahecha, A Carrara, M Flach, … | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2017 |
| Reverse engineering model structures for soil and ecosystem respiration: The potential of gene expression programming | I Ilie, P Dittrich, N Carvalhais, M Jung, A Heinemeyer, M Migliavacca, … | Geoscientific Model Development | 2017 |
| Climate extremes and their impact on ecosystem-atmosphere interactions | SD Sippel | ETH Zurich | 2017 |
| Early prediction of extreme stratospheric polar vortex states based on causal precursors | M Kretschmer, J Runge, D Coumou | Geophysical research letters | 2017 |
| Detecting causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets | J Runge, P Nowack, M Kretschmer, S Flaxman, D Sejdinovic | arXiv preprint arXiv: | 2017 |
| Disentangling Causal Pathways of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex: A Machine Learning Approach | M Kretschmer | Universität Potsdam | 2017 |
| In the observational record half a degree matters | CF Schleussner, P Pfleiderer, EM Fischer | Nature Climate Change | 2017 |
| A novel bias correction methodology for climate impact simulations | S Sippel, FEL Otto, M Forkel, MR Allen, BP Guillod, M Heimann, … | Earth System Dynamics | 2016 |
| Ecosystem impacts of climate extremes crucially depend on the timing | S Sippel, J Zscheischler, M Reichstein | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences | 2016 |
| 11. The role of anthropogenic warming in 2015 central European heat waves | S Sippel, FEL Otto, M Flach, GJ van Oldenborgh | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2016 |
| Diagnosing the dynamics of observed and simulated ecosystem gross primary productivity with time causal information theory quantifiers | S Sippel, H Lange, MD Mahecha, M Hauhs, P Bodesheim, T Kaminski, … | PloS one | 2016 |
| Detecting multivariate biosphere extremes | Y Guanche Garcia, E Rodner, M Flach, S Sippel, MD Mahecha, J Denzler | Climate Informatics Workshop | 2016 |
| Using causal effect networks to analyze different Arctic drivers of midlatitude winter circulation | M Kretschmer, D Coumou, JF Donges, J Runge | Journal of climate | 2016 |
| Quantifying changes in climate variability and extremes: Pitfalls and their overcoming | S Sippel, J Zscheischler, M Heimann, FEL Otto, J Peters, MD Mahecha | Geophysical Research Letters | 2015 |
| Stakeholder perspectives on the attribution of extreme weather events: An explorative enquiry | S Sippel, P Walton, FEL Otto | Weather, climate, and society | 2015 |
| Combining large model ensembles with extreme value statistics to improve attribution statements of rare events | S Sippel, D Mitchell, MT Black, AJ Dittus, L Harrington, N Schaller, … | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2015 |
| Ground cover rice production systems increase soil carbon and nitrogen stocks at regional scale | M Liu, M Dannenmann, S Lin, G Saiz, G Yan, Z Yao, DE Pelster, H Tao, … | Biogeosciences | 2015 |
| Beyond climatological extremes-assessing how the odds of hydrometeorological extreme events in South-East Europe change in a warming climate | S Sippel, FEL Otto | Climatic Change | 2014 |
| Do water-saving ground cover rice production systems increase grain yields at regional scales? | M Liu, S Lin, M Dannenmann, Y Tao, G Saiz, Q Zuo, S Sippel, J Wei, … | Field crops research | 2013 |
| Nitrogen dynamics at undisturbed and burned Mediterranean shrublands of Salento Peninsula, Southern Italy | M Dannenmann, G Willibald, S Sippel, K Butterbach-Bahl | Plant and soil | 2011 |
Published Papers
Recent publications co-authored by members of the Climate Causality & Attribution group. The members of the group are highlighted in bold in the author list. For papers related to specific research topics or highlighted by members of the group, please consult the pages of individual researchers.